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The main purpose of this report is to deepen the analysis and estimate of the main indicators on human development within the country, particular in Mozambique's provinces and macro-regions. To this end, it has been necessary to overcome some methodological and analytical limitations never previously solved. In particular, a methodology has been established to disaggregate the national gross domestic product (GDP) by provinces and regions. Without this, it would not be possible to estimate, for example, the provincial and regional human development index (HDI), or to clarify certain dynamics of economic growth and development in each province and region of the country.

The possibility of estimating the GDP and the HDI represents an advance in analytical and methodological capacity which goes beyond the scope of this report. First, as from now it is becoming possible to overcome a rather paradoxical limitation of specialists who study economic and development dynamics within the country. While an official or researcher, sitting in his or her Washington or New York office, could calculate Mozambique's national GDP or HDI, a specialist living in Maputo city was not able to estimate the contribution made by each province or region to those economic and development indicators. Obviously, the question underlying this parallel does not refer so much to distance, but to capacity and to the availability of the means (data and methods) to undertake increasingly specific and local analyses.


PREFACE
Preface

INTRODUCTION
Introduction

CONCEPTUAL, METHODOLOGICAL AND STATISTICAL FRAMEWORK
A pluralist concept of progress
New analytical instruments and their empirical relevance
Multidimensional analysis of human development
New data and new methods

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INSIDE THE COUNTRY: SIMILARITIES AND DIFFERENCES
Mozambique in the African and international context
What does the HDI by region and by province show?
Multiple dimensions of human deprivation -the HPI in Mozambique

THE WEALTH OF THE MOZAMBICAN NATION
Who produces what and how much?
Method and sources of calculating the disaggregated GDP
National GDP as the aggregate of the provincial GDPs
Production and the economic well-being of the public
Provincial human development:the case of Zambezia

THE ROLE OF WAGE LABOUR IN SURVIVAL STRATEGIES
Sources of household income
The profile of rural poverty
Employment in Mozambique
Livelihood strategies: some selected evidence
The importance of income for the survival of the poor: implications for policy and strategy

BETWEEN HOPE AND UNCERTAINTY: NEW CHALLENGES FACED WITH THE THREAT OF AIDS
AIDS and human development
Scale and origin of the pandemic in Mozambique
Characteristics of the HIV/AIDS pandemic in Mozambique
Impact on households and communities
Consequences for the social services
Consequences for the services sector
Impact on the national economy
Population growth: an uncertain fate, posed between two disasters

HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN MOZAMBIQUE: CONCLUSION AND FUTURE PROSPECTS
Progress, obstacles and challenges
Future prospects: new lines of research and of broad, constructive and informed debate

REFERENCES AND BIBLIOGRAPHY
References and Bibliography

STATISTICAL ANNEX
Statistical Annex

LIST OF TABLES
List of Tables

LIST OF GRAPHS
List of Graphs

LIST OF BOXES
List of Boxes

LIST OF MAPS
List of Maps

ABBREVIATIONS
Abbreviations

TECHNICAL NOTES
Technical Note 1
Technical Note 2
Technical Note 3

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